Modeling the invasive emerald ash borer risk of spread using a spatially explicit cellular model
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Landscape Ecology. 25: 253-369.
The emerald ash borer (EAB, Agrilus planipennis) is decimating native ashes (Fraxinus sp.) throughout midwestern North America, killing millions of trees over the years. With plenty of ash available throughout the continent, the spread of this destructive insect is likely to continue. We estimate that the insect has been moving along a "front" at about 20 km/year since about 1998, but more alarming is its long-range dispersal into new locations facilitated by human activities. We describe a spatially explicit cell-based model used to calculate risk of spread in Ohio, by combining the insect's flight and short-range dispersal ("insect flight") with human-facilitated, long-range dispersal ("insect ride").
Keywordsemerald ash borer; EAB; Agrilus planipennis; spread model; stratified dispersal; spatially explicit cellular model Ohio; gravity model; Fraxinus; ash; roads networks; invasive; highway traffic; insect flight model; insect ride model
Prasad, Anantha M.; Iverson, Louis R.; Peters, Matthew P.; Bossenbroek, Jonathan M.; Matthews, Stephen N.; Sydnor, T. Davis; Schwartz, Mark W. 2010. Modeling the invasive emerald ash borer risk of spread using a spatially explicit cellular model. Landscape Ecology. 25: 253-369. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10980-009-9434-9.